Thursday, October 7, 2010

Predictions revisited

It's time for more predictions, but first, some explanation...

I haven't posted anything here, well, basically since the PA Primaries in May. It's not that I no longer care about politics, far from it! I did, however, desire a break after the emotional roller-coaster that was the primary elections this year. Additionally, I spent the summer at Camp, my brother got married, I took a three week vacation, and am now in what is becoming a desperate search for a job.

And yes, those were all excuses.

I'll be coming back into the blogosphere slowly (hopefully - unless I get a job which consumes my every moment), so this first re-entry post will be short. Just warning you.

The elections loom, and it's time for some updated predictions.

I disagree with Dick Morris - probably not wise on my part - but I don't think the GOP will take back the House. I think we'll fall 1 seat short. I have no real proof to support this thought, it's just a hunch... I hope Dick Morris is right on this one!



I agree with Dick Morris - this is the better paragraph already - the GOP will take back the Senate in less than a month. I further believe Speaker Pelosi will no longer be in office come January.

Coming back to Pennsylvania...

Toomey's been a trooper and looks to pull out a victory over Sestak. He has some terrific ads, "Say it ain't so, Joe!" He will be a fantastic Senator. Too bad our party passed him by 6 years ago. But history looks to correct itself and leave us with Senator Toomey before long.

The surprise, for me, has been that Tom Corbett has maintained his double digit lead over Dan Onorato. Frankly, I'm almost shocked by this... especially after Onorato's ridiculous "this is how you say my name" ad gained him 10 points in the polls - virtually overnight.


Editorial Cartoon


Somehow, though, Corbett's managed to hang on to his lead. I'm still not ready to call this one for Corbett, but unlike my previous thoughts that Onorato had this one in the bag, I'll now call it a toss up.

Coming local, we've got high hopes for David Argall to topple Tim Holden for Congress. Unfortunately, Holden has at least one fantastic ad... and the district, for some strange reason, still seems to like him. I'd say this one is still a wait and see, too.

There's my thoughts on the upcoming election. Next post will hopefully be related to the administration or policy or something more interesting. Until then...

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